# The Last Word (the-last-word) · tv_episode 2026-04-02 · 12 words · K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR02 · as_of 2026-10-24T08:20:56Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-02 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXLASTWORDMENTION-26APR02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jamie Raskin says {word} as part of The Last Word With Lawrence O'Donnell, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Trump	trump	19	13	0.68	nYYYYnnnYY	0.57	yes
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.46	yes
Epstein	epstein	12	7	0.58	nnYYYYnYYn	0.44	yes
FBI	fbi	3	3	1	YYY	0.39	no
TSA	tsa	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	11	2	0.18	nnnnYnnnYn	0.38	yes
Republican	republican	17	6	0.35	nYYnnYnYnn	0.34	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.27	no
Election	election	5	1	0.2	Ynnnn	0.27	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	10	1	0.1	nnnnnnnnYn	0.25	no
Iran	iran	7	2	0.29	nnnnYYn	0.23	no
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	8	1	0.12	nnYnnnnn	0.23	no
