# Ken Paxton (ken-paxton) · speech 2026-09-10 · 11 words · K k:KXKPAXMENTION-26SEP10 · as_of 2026-10-27T02:23:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-10 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKPAXMENTION-26SEP10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Ken Paxton says {word} as part of RNC Midterm Convention , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border	border	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	yes
Attorney General	attorney general	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Christian / Christianity	christian|christianity	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Cornyn	cornyn	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Election / Midterm	election|midterm	0	0			0.44	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Socialism / Socialist	socialism|socialist	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Talarico	talarico	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Tax	tax	0	0			0.44	prior	yes
Trump	trump	0	0			0.44	prior	yes