# Erika Kirk (erika-kirk) · interview 2026-02-05 · 10 words · K k:KXKIRKMENTION-26FEB05 · as_of 2026-10-25T09:18:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-05 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIRKMENTION-26FEB05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Erika Kirk says {word} as part of The Story with Martha MacCallum, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
College / Campus	campus|college	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	yes
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	no
Turning Point	turning point	2	2	1	YY	0.56	hist	yes
Debate	debate	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	hist	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	hist	no
Political Violence	political violence	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	no
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	no
Heaven	heaven	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	no
Patriot	patriot	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	no
Pregnant / Pregnancy	pregnancy|pregnant	0	0			0.4	prior	no