# Erika Kirk (erika-kirk) · interview 2025-12-10 · 10 words · K k:KXKIRKMENTION-25DEC10 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:31:34Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-10 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIRKMENTION-25DEC10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Erika Kirk says {word} as part of The Five, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
College / Campus	campus|college	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
Debate	debate	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	no
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
Turning Point	turning point	1	1	1	Y	0.47	hist	yes
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Heaven	heaven	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Patriot	patriot	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
America Fest	america fest	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Student	student	0	0			0.41	prior	no