# Erika Kirk (erika-kirk) · keynote 2025-12-04 · 12 words · K k:KXKIRKMENTION-25DEC04 · as_of 2026-10-25T00:51:17Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-04 · tn/th blank: no keynote transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIRKMENTION-25DEC04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Erika Kirk says {word} as part of 2025 New York Times DealBook Summit, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Assassination / Assassinated	assassinated|assassination	0	0		0.39	no
Campus / College	campus|college	0	0		0.39	yes
Debate	debate	0	0		0.39	yes
Enemy	enemy	0	0		0.39	no
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	0	0		0.39	no
God / Faith	faith|god	0	0		0.39	yes
Heaven	heaven	0	0		0.39	no
JD / Vance	jd|vance	0	0		0.39	yes
Patriot	patriot	0	0		0.39	no
Political Violence	political violence	0	0		0.39	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.39	yes
Turning Point	turning point	0	0		0.39	yes