# King Charles III (king-charles-iii) · speech 2026-05-13 · 36 words · K k:KXKINGMENTION-26MAY13 · P p:what-will-king-charles-say-during-state-opening · as_of 2026-10-24T06:20:15Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2026-05-13 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKINGMENTION-26MAY13 ({word} = w of K rows): If King Charles III says {word} as part of UK State Opening of Parliament , then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-king-charles-say-during-state-opening (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if King Charles says the listed term during the State Opening of Parliament scheduled for May 13, 2026.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	KP	2	2	1	YY	0.68	hist	no
Democracy	democracy	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.68	hist	no
NATO	nato	1	K	2	2	1	YY	0.68	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	KP	2	2	1	YY	0.68	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	KP	3	2	0.67	nYY	0.62	hist	no
Queen / Mother	mother|queen	1	K	0	0			0.62	hist	no
War	war	1	P	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	no
Mother	mother	1	P	0	0			0.57	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.41	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	K	0	0			0.35	hist	no
Climate	climate	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	K	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist	no
Brexit	brexit	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Common / Commons	common	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Controversial	controversial	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Defeat	defeat	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Defense	defense	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Economy	economy	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Education	education	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Failure	failure	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Frankly	frankly	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Gas	gas	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Government 3+ times	government#3	3	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Health	health	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
House / Housing	house|housing	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Parliament 3+ times	parliament#3	3	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Recession	recession	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Security	security	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Six Seven	six seven	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Starmer	starmer	1	P	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	KP	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Keir / Starmer	keir|starmer	1	K	0	0			0.48	prior	no
Muslim / Islam	islam|muslim	1	K	0	0			0.48	prior	no
NHS / National Health Service	national health service|nhs	1	K	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	1	K	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
Palace	palace	1	K	0	0			0.48	prior	no