# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2026-01-13 · 10 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN13 · as_of 2026-10-24T12:43:16Z
# scope K host · n/y settled before 2026-01-13 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jimmy Kimmel says {word} as part of The Late Show with Stephen Colbert, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Trump	trump	9	7	0.78	YYYYYnYnY	0.54	hist
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist
Republican	republican	1	1	1	Y	0.51	hist
Disney	disney	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.4	hist
FCC	fcc	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.38	hist
Charlie	charlie	0	0			0.33	hist
Greenland	greenland	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	0	0	n	0.29	hist
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	2	0	0	nn	0.25	hist
Guillermo	guillermo	0	0			0.37	prior