# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2026-01-09 · 13 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN09 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:57:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-09 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-26JAN09 ({word} = w of K rows): If Rachel Maddow says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live!, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
Trump	trump	8	6	0.75	YYYYYnYn	0.49	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	2	1	0.5	nY	0.35	hist	yes
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	0	0			0.32	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Democracy	democracy	2	0	0	nn	0.27	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.26	hist	no
Greenland	greenland	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	0	0			0.39	prior	yes
Oil	oil	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	0	0			0.39	prior	no
Walz	walz	0	0			0.39	prior	no