# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2025-11-26 · 12 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25NOV26 · as_of 2026-10-25T21:23:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-26 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25NOV26 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mark Kelly says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live!, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	4	4	1	YYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Drug	drug	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Execution / Death Threat	death threat|execution	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
King	king	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Military	military	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
National Guard	national guard	0	0			0.46	prior	no
New York	new york	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Pentagon	pentagon	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Sedition	sedition	0	0			0.46	prior	yes
Threat	threat	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Ukraine	ukraine	0	0			0.46	prior	no
Weaponized / Weaponizing	weaponized|weaponizing	0	0			0.46	prior	no