# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2025-11-21 · 12 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25NOV21 · as_of 2026-10-24T09:19:17Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-21 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25NOV21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Eric Swalwell says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live!, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	3	3	1	YYY	0.66	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	no
Campaign	campaign	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Epstein	epstein	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Governor	governor	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Investigate / Investigation	investigate|investigation	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Newsom	newsom	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.45	prior	no