# Jimmy Kimmel Live! (jimmy-kimmel-live) · tv_episode 2025-12-11 · 10 words · K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25DEC11 · as_of 2026-10-25T08:15:19Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-11 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKIMMELMENTION-25DEC11 ({word} = w of K rows): If Pete Buttigieg says {word} as part of Jimmy Kimmel Live!, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	6	5	0.83	YYYYYn	0.56	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.42	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	0	0			0.34	hist	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.34	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	0	0	n	0.32	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Biden	biden	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Kamala	kamala	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Republican	republican	0	0			0.41	prior	yes