# Kamala Harris (kamala-harris) · panel 2026-04-10 · 16 words · K k:KXKAMALAMENTION-26APR10 · as_of 2026-10-24T14:00:05Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-10 · tn/th blank: no panel transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKAMALAMENTION-26APR10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kamala Harris says {word} as part of National Action Network's 35th Anniversary National Convention 2026 - Fireside Chat, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.6	hist	yes
California	california	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.46	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	0	0			0.46	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	1	1	1	Y	0.43	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	2	1	0.5	nY	0.38	hist	no
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	0	0			0.38	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0			0.37	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.31	hist	yes
Obama	obama	1	0	0	n	0.31	hist	no
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0	n	0.3	hist	yes
Biden	biden	6	2	0.33	YYnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	2	0	0	nn	0.26	hist	no
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	0	0			0.22	hist	no
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Iran	iran	0	0			0.33	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.33	prior	yes