# Kamala Harris (kamala-harris) · tv_episode 2025-07-31 · 34 words · K k:KXKAMALAMENTION-25JUL31 · P p:what-will-kamala-harris-say-during-colbert-show-tonight · as_of 2026-10-24T12:28:19Z
# scope K named; P named · n/y settled before 2025-07-31 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKAMALAMENTION-25JUL31 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kamala Harris says {word} as part of The Late Show With Stephen Colbert on Jul 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
# rules P p:what-will-kamala-harris-say-during-colbert-show-tonight (every P row; the listed term = w): This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kamala Harris says the listed term during her appearance at the listed event.
w	key	thr	v	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Project 2025	project 2025	1	P	10	7	0.7	YnYYYnYYnY	0.5	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	KP	1	1	1	Y	0.4	hist	yes
Donald / Trump	donald|trump	1	K	0	0			0.4	hist	no
Beyonce	beyonce	1	K	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Trump 3+ times	trump#3	3	P	1	0	0	n	0.28	hist	no
Unburdened	unburdened	1	K	5	0	0	nnnnn	0.21	hist	no
107 day	107 day	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
2028	2028	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Autopen	autopen	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Big Ugly Bill	big ugly bill	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Bipartisan	bipartisan	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Book	book	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
California	california	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Campaign	campaign	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Cancelled	cancelled	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Cognitive Decline	cognitive decline	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Cole / Ella / Emhoff	cole|ella|emhoff	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Comrade	comrade	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Constitutional crisis	constitutional crisis	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Debate	debate	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Defeat	defeat	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
DOGE / Department of Government Efficiency	department of government efficiency|doge	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Election / Elected	elected|election	1	P	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Error	error	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Gavin / Newsom	gavin|newsom	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Governor	governor	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	yes
Nomination	nomination	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Public Service	public service	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Recession	recession	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Retire	retire	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Tariff	tariff	1	KP	0	0			0.31	prior	no
TikTok	tiktok	1	K	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Zohran / Mamdani	mamdani|zohran	1	KP	0	0			0.31	prior	no