# Kamala Harris (kamala-harris) · hearing 2025-12-13 · 14 words · K k:KXKAMALAMENTION-25DEC13 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:28:19Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-12-13 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXKAMALAMENTION-25DEC13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kamala Harris says {word} as part of Democratic National Committee, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
California	california	2	2	1	YY	0.49	hist	yes
Campaign	campaign	2	2	1	YY	0.49	hist	yes
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.47	hist	yes
Biden	biden	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.4	hist	no
National Guard	national guard	1	0	0	n	0.27	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	1	0	0	n	0.27	hist	no
ICE / Border Patrol	border patrol|ice	0	0			0.27	hist	no
2028	2028	2	0	0	nn	0.24	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Billionaire	billionaire	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Foreign	foreign	0	0			0.32	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.32	prior	yes
Republican	republican	0	0			0.32	prior	yes