# Jerome Powell (jerome-powell) · keynote 2025-04-04 · 21 words · K k:KXJPOWMENTION-25APR04 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:15:41Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-04-04 · tn/th last 8 transcripts of any kind 2024-05-01..2025-03-19 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXJPOWMENTION-25APR04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jerome Powell says {word} as part of Society for Advancing Business Editing and Writing Conference, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	tn	th	p	res
Atlanta Fed	atlanta fed	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Auto / Automotive	auto|automotive	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Bond	bond	0	0		8	2	0.53	yes
Energy	energy	0	0		8	8	0.53	yes
Gas / Gasoline / Natural Gas	gas|gasoline|natural gas	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
GDP / Gross Domestic Product	gdp|gross domestic product	0	0		8	8	0.53	yes
Good afternoon	good afternoon	0	0		8	8	0.53	no
Good morning	good morning	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Investor	investor	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Liberation Day	liberation day	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Market	market	0	0		8	8	0.53	yes
President	president	0	0		8	3	0.53	no
Recession	recession	0	0		8	4	0.53	yes
Reciprocal	reciprocal	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Stagflation	stagflation	0	0		8	2	0.53	no
Stock	stock	0	0		8	1	0.53	no
Tariff	tariff	0	0		8	3	0.53	yes
Trade Deficit	trade deficit	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Trade war	trade war	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Trump	trump	0	0		8	0	0.53	no
Yield curve	yield curve	0	0		8	1	0.53	no