# Mike Johnson (mike-johnson) · speech 2026-01-21 · 13 words · K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-26JAN21 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:20:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-21 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-26JAN21 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Johnson says {word} as part of address to the UK Parliament, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.5	hist	yes
China	china	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Churchill	churchill	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
England / English	england|english	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Free Speech / Freedom of Speech	free speech|freedom of speech	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Greenland	greenland	0	0			0.41	prior	no
King / Queen	king|queen	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Mayflower	mayflower	0	0			0.41	prior	no
NATO / Ally	ally|nato	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Russia / Ukraine	russia|ukraine	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Starmer	starmer	0	0			0.41	prior	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0			0.41	prior	no
Trade	trade	0	0			0.41	prior	yes