# Mike Johnson (mike-johnson) · tv_episode 2026-02-02 · 11 words · K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-26FEB02 · as_of 2026-10-25T19:50:32Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-02 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXJOHNSONMENTION-26FEB02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Johnson says {word} as part of Meet the Press, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	3	3	1	YYY	0.67	hist	yes
Schumer	schumer	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	yes
Big Beautiful Bill	big beautiful bill	0	0			0.49	prior	no
Epstein	epstein	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.49	prior	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Noem	noem	0	0			0.49	prior	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0			0.49	prior	yes