# Hakeem Jeffries (hakeem-jeffries) · keynote 2026-05-19 · 13 words · K k:KXJEFFRIESMENTION-26MAY19 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:03:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-19 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-02-15 (under 2 keynote transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXJEFFRIESMENTION-26MAY19 ({word} = w of K rows): If Hakeem Jeffries says {word} as part of 2026 CAP IDEAS Conference , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	5	5	1	YYYYY	1	1	0.73	hist	yes
Afford / Affordability / Affordable	afford|affordability|affordable	3	3	1	YYY	1	1	0.68	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			1	0	0.68	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.64	hist	yes
ICE / Border	border|ice	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.64	hist	yes
Republican	republican	5	4	0.8	YYYYn	1	1	0.62	hist	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.6	hist	no
Election	election	4	2	0.5	nnYY	1	1	0.52	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	2	1	0.5	nY	1	0	0.52	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	0	0.46	hist	yes
Unconstitutional / Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	1	0.46	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	4	0	0	nnnn	1	0	0.3	hist	yes
Supreme Court	supreme court	0	0			1	0	0.52	prior	yes