# Tom Homan (tom-homan) · panel 2026-03-26 · 12 words · K k:KXHOMANMENTION-26MAR26B · as_of 2026-10-24T16:06:14Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-26 · tn/th blank: no panel transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHOMANMENTION-26MAR26B ({word} = w of K rows): If Tom Homan says {word} as part of CPAC: Walls Work — Fireside Chat with Tom Homan, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.68	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	0	0			0.56	hist	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.55	hist	yes
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	1	5	3	0.6	YYYnn	0.52	hist	no
Deport / Deported / Deportation	deport|deportation|deported	1	0	0			0.5	hist	yes
Body Camera / Body Cam	body cam|body camera	1	5	2	0.4	nnYYn	0.46	hist	no
Biden (3+ times)	biden#3	3	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	0	0			0.51	prior	no
National Security	national security	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	0	0			0.51	prior	yes