# Kathy Hochul (kathy-hochul) · speech by 2026-03-15 (settled) · 14 words · K k:KXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR15 · as_of 2026-10-25T06:49:27Z
# scope K anyone · n/y settled before 2026-03-15 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHOCHULMENTION-26MAR15 ({word} = w of K rows): If || Person || says {word} as part of || Address ||, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	17	12	0.71	nYnYYYYYYn	0.69	hist	yes
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	17	11	0.65	nYYYYYYnYn	0.64	hist	yes
Budget / Deficit	budget|deficit	4	3	0.75	YYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Billion	billion	15	10	0.67	nnnnnYYYYY	0.63	hist	yes
Housing	housing	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.6	hist	no
Buffalo	buffalo	16	10	0.62	YYYYnYYnnY	0.57	hist	yes
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	5	3	0.6	YnYnY	0.53	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	17	7	0.41	nnnnnnYnYn	0.49	hist	yes
Trump	trump	18	7	0.39	YYnnnnYnnn	0.47	hist	yes
Manufacture / Manufacturing	manufacture|manufacturing	2	0	0	nn	0.47	hist	yes
Rebate / Refund	rebate|refund	1	0	0	n	0.47	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	3	0	0	nnn	0.4	hist	yes
Inflation	inflation	12	2	0.17	nnnnYnYnnn	0.29	hist	yes
Canada / Canadian	canada|canadian	0	0			0.57	prior	yes