# Kathy Hochul (kathy-hochul) · speech 2026-01-14 · 19 words · K k:KXHOCHULMENTION-26JAN14 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:56:24Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-01-14 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHOCHULMENTION-26JAN14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kathy Hochul says {word} as part of 2026 State of the State Address, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Buffalo / Bills	bill|buffalo	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Homeless / Homelessness	homeless|homelessness	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.56	hist	yes
Subway / MTA	mta|subway	0	0			0.56	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	2	1	0.5	nY	0.48	hist	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	yes
Maduro / Venezuela	maduro|venezuela	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Congestion	congestion	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Crime	crime	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Housing / Home	home|housing	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Inflation	inflation	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Kalshi / Prediction Market	kalshi|prediction market	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Mayor / New York City	mayor|new york city	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Mental Health	mental health	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Tax on Tips	tax on tip	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Upstate /  Up State	up state|upstate	0	0			0.47	prior	yes