# Kathy Hochul (kathy-hochul) · remarks by 2026-04-02 (settled) · 15 words · K k:KXHOCHULMENTION-26APR02 · as_of 2026-10-27T07:21:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-02 · tn/th blank: no remarks transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHOCHULMENTION-26APR02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kathy Hochul says {word} as part of next Governor Kathy Hochul announcement, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Childcare	childcare	6	5	0.83	nYYYYY	0.74	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	21	15	0.71	YYYYYYnYYn	0.65	hist	yes
Mayor / Mamdani	mamdani|mayor	22	15	0.68	YYnYYnYYnY	0.64	hist	yes
Buffalo	buffalo	21	14	0.67	YYnnYYnYYY	0.64	hist	no
Common Sense	common sense	2	1	0.5	nY	0.5	hist	no
Tariff	tariff	7	3	0.43	nnYnYnY	0.44	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	3	1	0.33	nnY	0.43	hist	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	22	10	0.45	nYnYYnYYnn	0.4	hist	no
Trump	trump	23	10	0.43	nYnnYnYnnY	0.4	hist	no
Florida	florida	1	0	0	n	0.38	hist	no
Republican	republican	6	2	0.33	YnnYnn	0.36	hist	no
Iran	iran	4	1	0.25	Ynnn	0.35	hist	yes
Tax	tax	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25	hist	yes
Insurance	insurance	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Rich / Wealthy	rich|wealthy	0	0			0.5	prior	no