# Steve Hilton (steve-hilton) · debate 2026-05-05 · 14 words · K k:KXHILTONMENTION-26MAY05 · as_of 2026-10-24T23:00:57Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-05 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHILTONMENTION-26MAY05 ({word} = w of K rows): If Steve Hilton says {word} as part of CNN California gubernatorial primary debate , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Fraud	fraud	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	yes
Mental Health	mental health	1	1	1	Y	0.58	hist	no
Oil / Refinery	oil|refinery	0	0			0.56	hist	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.47	prior	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
California Dream	california dream	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Common Sense	common sense	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Crisis	crisis	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Electric / EV	electric|ev	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Flat Tax	flat tax	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Iraq / Iraqi	iraq|iraqi	0	0			0.47	prior	yes