# Steve Hilton (steve-hilton) · debate 2026-04-22 · 15 words · K k:KXHILTONMENTION-26APR22 · as_of 2026-10-25T16:24:35Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-22 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHILTONMENTION-26APR22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Steve Hilton says {word} as part of Debate Night in California: The Race for Governor , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Billionaire	billionaire	0	0		0.44	no
CEQA / Environmental	ceqa|environmental	0	0		0.44	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0		0.44	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0		0.44	yes
Florida / Texas	florida|texa	0	0		0.44	no
Fox 	fox	0	0		0.44	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.44	yes
Homeless / Homelessness	homeless|homelessness	0	0		0.44	yes
ICE / DHS	dhs|ice	0	0		0.44	no
Mental Health	mental health	0	0		0.44	yes
Newsom	newsom	0	0		0.44	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0		0.44	yes
Regulation / Regulator / Regulatory	regulation|regulator|regulatory	0	0		0.44	yes
Swalwell	swalwell	0	0		0.44	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.44	no