# Pete Hegseth (pete-hegseth) · tv_episode 2026-09-13 · 13 words · K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26SEP13 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:40:00Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-13 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist, res no · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26SEP13 ({word} = w of K rows): If Pete Hegseth says {word} as part of 60 Minutes on Sep 13 , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p
Nuclear	nuclear	1	14	13	0.93	YYYYYYYYYY	0.73
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	5	5	1	YYYYY	0.71
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	14	12	0.86	YYYYYYYnYn	0.64
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	2	2	1	YY	0.62
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	13	9	0.69	nYnYYYnYYY	0.61
Drone	drone	1	16	11	0.69	YYYYnYYnnY	0.57
Hormuz	hormuz	1	12	8	0.67	YYnYYYYYYn	0.56
America First	america first	1	14	8	0.57	YYYnnnYnYY	0.51
Rescue / Rescued	rescue|rescued	1	1	1	1	Y	0.48
F-15 / F-15E	f 15|f 15e	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47
Obliterate / Obliterated / Obliteration	obliterate|obliterated|obliteration	1	11	5	0.45	YnYnYnnYYn	0.44
CIA	cia	1	2	0	0	nn	0.32
Ayatollah / Khamenei	ayatollah|khamenei	1	10	1	0.1	nnnnnYnnnn	0.26