# Pete Hegseth (pete-hegseth) · tv_episode 2026-06-14 · 13 words · K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26JUN14 · as_of 2026-10-25T07:00:22Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-14 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-26JUN14 ({word} = w of K rows): If Pete Hegseth says {word} as part of Face the Nation , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nuclear	nuclear	1	12	11	0.92	YYYYYYYYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	12	11	0.92	YYYYYYYYYn	0.66	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	3	3	1	YYY	0.63	hist	yes
Venezuela	venezuela	1	2	2	1	YY	0.59	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	11	7	0.64	nYnYnYYYnY	0.53	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	4	2	0.5	YnnY	0.44	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	0	0			0.32	hist	yes
Fake News	fake new	1	13	3	0.23	nYnnnYnnnn	0.28	hist	no
Cartel	cartel	1	0	0			0.42	prior	yes
Cuba / Cuban	cuba|cuban	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	0	0			0.42	prior	no