# Pete Hegseth (pete-hegseth) · speech 2025-11-08 · 19 words · K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-25NOV08 · as_of 2026-10-24T18:58:34Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-11-08 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-25NOV08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Pete Hegseth says {word} as part of remarks at the National Defense University on November 7th, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Nuclear	nuclear	1	1	1	Y	0.46	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Autonomous	autonomous	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Biden	biden	0	0			0.36	prior	no
China	china	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Common Sense	common sense	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
DEI	dei	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Democracy	democracy	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Drone	drone	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Fat	fat	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Golden Dome	golden dome	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Pentagon	pentagon	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Recruit / Recruitment	recruit|recruitment	0	0			0.36	prior	yes
Russia	russia	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Shipbuilding / Ship Building	ship building|shipbuilding	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Space Force	space force	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Stake	stake	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Waste / Fraud	fraud|waste	0	0			0.36	prior	yes