# Pete Hegseth (pete-hegseth) · presser 2025-06-22 · 21 words · K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-25JUN22 · as_of 2026-10-25T19:09:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2025-06-22 · tn/th blank: no presser transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEGSETHMENTION-25JUN22 ({word} = w of K rows): If Secretary Hegseth says {word} as part of Gen. Caine and Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth's press conference originally scheduled for 8 a.m. ET at the Pentagon, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
B-2	b 2	0	0		0.28	yes
Bunker Buster	bunker buster	0	0		0.28	no
Deterrence	deterrence	0	0		0.28	yes
Event Does Not Occur	event does not occur	0	0		0.28	no
Fordow	fordow	0	0		0.28	yes
GBU-57	gbu 57	0	0		0.28	no
Houthi	houthi	0	0		0.28	no
Iran	iran	0	0		0.28	yes
Isfahan	isfahan	0	0		0.28	yes
Israel	israel	0	0		0.28	yes
Khamenei	khamenei	0	0		0.28	no
Magnificent	magnificent	0	0		0.28	no
Natanz	natanz	0	0		0.28	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	0	0		0.28	yes
Obliterated	obliterated	0	0		0.28	yes
Operation	operation	0	0		0.28	yes
Soleimani	soleimani	0	0		0.28	yes
Spectacular	spectacular	0	0		0.28	no
Stealth	stealth	0	0		0.28	no
Successful	successful	0	0		0.28	yes
Yemen	yemen	0	0		0.28	no