# Markwayne Mullin (markwayne-mullin) · hearing 2026-05-18 · 16 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26MAY18 · as_of 2026-10-25T00:28:50Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-18 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K, res void · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26MAY18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of House Committee on Appropriations, Oversight Hearing on Homeland Security , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	1	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist
Biden	biden	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist
Constitution / Constitutional / Unconstitutional	constitution|constitutional|unconstitutional	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist
Election	election	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist
Border	border	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist
Democrat	democrat	1	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.46	hist
National Security	national security	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist
America First	america first	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist
Fraud	fraud	1	2	0	0	nn	0.29	hist
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.42	prior
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0			0.42	prior
Sanctuary	sanctuary	1	0	0			0.42	prior
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0			0.42	prior