# Kash Patel (kash-patel) · hearing 2026-05-12 · 15 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26MAY12 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:23:42Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-05-12 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-11-12 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26MAY12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Kash Patel says {word} as part of A Review of the President's Fiscal Year 2027 Budget Request for the Federal Bureau of Investigation; the Drug Enforcement Administration; the United States Marshals Service; and the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.6	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.6	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	1	1	1	Y	1	0	0.51	hist	yes
Mexico / Mexican	mexican|mexico	1	2	1	0.5	nY	1	1	0.44	hist	yes
Election	election	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	0	0.39	hist	yes
Trump (3+ times) 	trump#3	3	3	1	0.33	nYn	1	1	0.39	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	1	0	0.38	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.34	hist	no
Epstein	epstein	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.34	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	0	0	n	1	0	0.34	hist	yes
Ballroom	ballroom	1	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no
Biden	biden	1	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no
Secret Service	secret service	1	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no
Surveillance	surveillance	1	0	0			1	0	0.41	prior	no