# Markwayne Mullin (markwayne-mullin) · hearing 2026-06-03 · 15 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN03 · as_of 2026-10-24T06:00:06Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-03 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · same on every row: v K, p_src hist · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN03 ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of House Committee on Homeland Security - DHS Budget Hearing, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	res
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.51	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	3	3	1	YYY	0.5	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.47	yes
Biden	biden	1	3	2	0.67	YnY	0.42	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	2	1	0.5	nY	0.4	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	3	1	0.33	Ynn	0.28	yes
Body Cam / Body Camera	body cam|body camera	1	1	0	0	n	0.24	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	0	0	n	0.24	yes
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	2	0	0	nn	0.21	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	2	0	0	nn	0.2	no
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.18	yes
America First	america first	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	yes
National Security	national security	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.16	no