# Markwayne Mullin (markwayne-mullin) · hearing 2026-06-02 · 15 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN02 · as_of 2026-10-25T03:14:32Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-02 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUN02 ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of Senate Committee on Appropriations - DHS Budget Hearing, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	1	2	2	1	YY	0.43	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	2	2	1	YY	0.42	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0			0.36	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.32	hist	yes
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.32	hist	no
Illegal Alien	illegal alien	1	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	1	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	1	0	0	n	0.25	hist	yes
Mask / Masked	mask|masked	1	2	0	0	nn	0.21	hist	no
National Security	national security	1	2	0	0	nn	0.19	hist	no
America First	america first	1	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	1	2	0	0	nn	0.18	hist	no
Body Cam / Body Camera	body cam|body camera	1	0	0			0.31	prior	no
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	0	0			0.31	prior	yes