# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-07-29 · 15 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL29B · as_of 2026-10-24T11:24:36Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-07-29 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL29B ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of Senate Special Committee on Aging - The AI Deception Machine: Deepfakes, Chatbots, and the New Frontier of Senior Fraud , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	4	3	0.75	YnYY	0.65	hist	yes
Social Security	social security	1	1	1	1	Y	0.64	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	12	9	0.75	YYnYYYYnnY	0.62	hist	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	5	2	0.4	nnYnY	0.49	hist	no
Hack / Hacker / Hacked	hack|hacked|hacker	1	0	0			0.47	hist	no
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	11	4	0.36	YnYnYnYnnn	0.39	hist	no
Social Media	social media	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	yes
ATM	atm	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Catfish / Catfishing	catfish|catfishing	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Identity Theft	identity theft	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Impersonate / Impersonating / Impersonation	impersonate|impersonating|impersonation	1	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Lottery / Sweepstake	lottery|sweepstake	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Nigeria / Nigerian	nigeria|nigerian	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Phishing	phishing	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Shell Company	shell company	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no