# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-07-22 · 17 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL22B · as_of 2026-10-25T08:38:27Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-07-22 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL22B ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of House Committee on Foreign Affairs - United Nations Accountability and Reform: Advancing an America First Foreign Policy Through Strategic Diplomacy and Burden Sharing , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	24	20	0.83	YnYYYYnYYY	0.7	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.64	hist	yes
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	4	3	0.75	YYYn	0.63	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	12	7	0.58	YnnYnYnYYn	0.55	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	1	9	5	0.56	YnYnnYYnY	0.55	hist	no
Biden	biden	1	20	11	0.55	YYYnYYYYnn	0.55	hist	yes
Ukraine / Ukranian	ukraine|ukranian	1	0	0			0.48	hist	yes
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	yes
Venezuela	venezuela	1	1	0	0	n	0.46	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	0	0	n	0.43	hist	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	4	1	0.25	nnYn	0.41	hist	yes
Ceasefire	ceasefire	1	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Gaza / Palestine	gaza|palestine	1	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Hormuz	hormuz	1	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Humanitarian Aid	humanitarian aid	1	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	1	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
NATO	nato	1	0	0			0.56	prior	yes