# Todd Blanche (todd-blanche) · hearing 2026-07-15 · 17 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL15B · as_of 2026-10-26T11:24:12Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-07-15 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL15B ({word} = w of K rows): If Todd Blanche says {word} as part of Senate Committee on the Judiciary - The Nomination of the Honorable Todd Blanche to be Attorney General of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	1	2	2	1	YY	0.6	hist	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.56	hist	yes
Weaponize / Weaponized / Weaponization	weaponization|weaponize|weaponized	1	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
FBI / Comey	comey|fbi	1	0	0			0.53	hist	yes
Minnesota / Minneapolis	minneapolis|minnesota	1	3	2	0.67	YYn	0.52	hist	yes
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	5	3	0.6	YnnYY	0.52	hist	yes
Election	election	1	4	2	0.5	nYYn	0.51	hist	yes
Fentanyl	fentanyl	1	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.47	hist	yes
Biden	biden	1	6	2	0.33	nYnnYn	0.4	hist	yes
Pam / Bondi	bondi|pam	1	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.38	hist	no
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin	bitcoin|crypto|cryptocurrency	1	1	0	0	n	0.36	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
Venezuela / Maduro	maduro|venezuela	1	1	0	0	n	0.35	hist	no
UFO / UAP / Extraterrestrial	extraterrestrial|uap|ufo	1	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	3	0	0	nnn	0.25	hist	no
January 6 / J6	j6|january 6	1	0	0			0.43	prior	yes