# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-07-15 · 16 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL15 · as_of 2026-10-24T10:19:00Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-07-15 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL15 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of House Committee on Foreign Affairs - Ending Supply Chain Dependency: Aligning Tools, Capital, and Partnerships , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Iran	iran	3	3	1	YYY	0.73	hist	no
National Security	national security	8	7	0.88	nYYYYYYY	0.69	hist	yes
Border	border	10	8	0.8	YYYYYnYYnY	0.69	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	19	16	0.84	nYYYYYnYYY	0.68	hist	yes
Invest / Invested / Investment	invest|invested|investment	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	yes
Manufacturing	manufacturing	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	yes
Rare Earth / Mineral	mineral|rare earth	1	1	1	Y	0.65	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	7	6	0.86	YYYYnYY	0.65	hist	yes
Biden	biden	18	11	0.61	YnYYYnYYYY	0.64	hist	no
Taiwan	taiwan	5	3	0.6	nYYYn	0.58	hist	no
Covid / Pandemic	covid|pandemic	2	1	0.5	nY	0.54	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	6	3	0.5	YnYnnY	0.5	hist	yes
Trump	trump	13	6	0.46	nYnnYYnnnY	0.43	hist	yes
Data Center	data center	3	1	0.33	nYn	0.39	hist	yes
Nuclear	nuclear	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	yes
Lithium	lithium	0	0			0.56	prior	no