# Congressional hearings (congressional-hearings) · hearing 2026-07-14 · 17 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL14 · as_of 2026-10-26T20:45:36Z
# scope K any_witness · n/y settled before 2026-07-14 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26JUL14 ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating witness says {word} as part of House Committee on Appropriations - Budget Hearing - Supreme Court of the United States , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Democrat	democrat	2	2	1	YY	0.7	hist	yes
Constitution / Constitutional	constitution|constitutional	1	1	1	Y	0.64	hist	yes
Modern / Modernize / Modernized / Modernization	modern|modernization|modernize|modernized	0	0			0.64	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	17	14	0.82	YYnYYYYYnY	0.63	hist	yes
Security / Cybersecurity	cybersecurity|security	1	1	1	Y	0.52	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	4	2	0.5	YnYn	0.5	hist	no
Trump	trump	11	5	0.45	nYnYnnYYnn	0.41	hist	no
Social Media	social media	2	0	0	nn	0.31	hist	no
Abortion	abortion	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Birthright	birthright	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Camera	camera	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Dox / Doxed / Doxing	dox|doxed|doxing	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Kavanaugh	kavanaugh	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Marshals	marshal	0	0			0.56	prior	yes
Political Violence	political violence	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Redistricting	redistricting	0	0			0.56	prior	no
Secret Service	secret service	0	0			0.56	prior	yes