# Jared Isaacman (jared-isaacman) · hearing 2026-04-27 · 14 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26APR27 · as_of 2026-10-24T11:39:45Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-27 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-04-05 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26APR27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jared Isaacman says {word} as part of House Appropriations Committee Budget Hearing - National Aeronautics and Space Administration , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	tn	th	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Artemis	artemis	1	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Asteroid 	asteroid	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Elon / Musk	elon|musk	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Houston	houston	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
ISS / International Space Station	international space station|iss	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Mars	mar	1	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Moon Base	moon base	1	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Rocket	rocket	1	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	no
Space Force	space force	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
SpaceX	spacex	1	0	0		1	0	0.44	yes
Trump (3+ times)	trump#3	3	0	0		1	1	0.44	yes