# Mike Waltz (mike-waltz) · hearing 2026-04-15 · 13 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26APR15B · as_of 2026-10-24T16:34:26Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-15 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2025-02-20 (under 2 hearing transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26APR15B ({word} = w of K rows): If Mike Waltz says {word} as part of REFORMING THE UN: ASSESSING U.S. EFFORTS AND PRIORITIES , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Taxpayer	taxpayer	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	1	1	0.61	hist	yes
China / Chinese	china|chinese	0	0			1	1	0.59	hist	yes
Fraud	fraud	0	0			1	0	0.59	hist	no
Venezuela / Cuba	cuba|venezuela	0	0			1	1	0.59	hist	no
Terrorist / Terrorism	terrorism|terrorist	1	0	0	n	1	1	0.4	hist	yes
Accountable / Accountability	accountability|accountable	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	no
Biden	biden	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	no
Democracy / Democratic	democracy|democratic	0	0			1	0	0.51	prior	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	yes
Marco / Rubio	marco|rubio	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	yes
Russia / Russian	russia|russian	0	0			1	1	0.51	prior	yes