# Thomas Massie (thomas-massie) · hearing 2026-04-15 · 12 words · K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26APR15 · as_of 2026-10-24T21:11:44Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-15 · tn/th blank: no hearing transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHEARINGMENTION-26APR15 ({word} = w of K rows): If Thomas Massie says {word} as part of Homeland Security & Government Affairs hearing on The Second Amendment , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
ATF	atf	0	0		0.44	no
Background Check	background check	0	0		0.44	yes
Concealed Carry	concealed carry	0	0		0.44	yes
Constitutional / Constitution 	constitution|constitutional	0	0		0.44	yes
Crime / Criminal	crime|criminal	0	0		0.44	yes
Democrat	democrat	0	0		0.44	yes
Epstein	epstein	0	0		0.44	no
Infringe / Infringed / Infringement	infringe|infringed|infringement	0	0		0.44	yes
Kentucky	kentucky	0	0		0.44	no
Self Defense	self defense	0	0		0.44	no
Supreme Court	supreme court	0	0		0.44	yes
Vote / Voter	vote|voter	0	0		0.44	no