# Hunter Biden (hunter-biden) · podcast_episode 2026-06-12 · 18 words · K k:KXHBIDENMENTION-26JUN12 · as_of 2026-10-24T17:29:12Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-06-12 · tn/th blank: no podcast episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXHBIDENMENTION-26JUN12 ({word} = w of K rows): If Hunter Biden says {word} as part of This is Gavin Newsom Podcast , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	thr	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
China / Chinese	china|chinese	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Conspiracy	conspiracy	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Election	election	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Republican	republican	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Trump (5+ times)	trump#5	5	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Ukraine	ukraine	1	1	1	1	Y	0.54	hist	yes
Bibi / Netanyahu	bibi|netanyahu	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
FBI	fbi	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	no
Pardon / Pardoned	pardon|pardoned	1	1	0	0	n	0.37	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Epstein	epstein	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	0	0			0.45	prior	yes
Pratt	pratt	1	0	0			0.45	prior	no