# Greg Abbott (greg-abbott) · speech 2026-03-27 · 10 words · K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26MAR27 · as_of 2026-10-24T15:24:53Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-03-27 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26MAR27 ({word} = w of K rows): If Greg Abbott says {word} as part of CPAC: Welcome to Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
Border	border	0	0		0.44	yes
Democrat	democrat	0	0		0.44	yes
Economy / Economic	economic|economy	0	0		0.44	no
Fraud	fraud	0	0		0.44	no
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	0	0		0.44	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0		0.44	yes
Iran	iran	0	0		0.44	yes
Oil	oil	0	0		0.44	no
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	0	0		0.44	no
Taxpayer	taxpayer	0	0		0.44	no