# Political debates (political-debates) · debate 2026-06-17 · 16 words · K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26JUN17C · as_of 2026-10-24T15:49:30Z
# scope K any_candidate · n/y settled before 2026-06-17 · tn/th blank: no debate transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26JUN17C ({word} = w of K rows): If any participating candidate says {word} as part of Arizona Primary Debate - Governor - Republican Primary , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
ICE	ice	3	3	1	YYY	0.74	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	2	2	1	YY	0.72	hist	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	1	1	1	Y	0.67	hist	yes
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	1	Y	0.66	hist	yes
Common Sense	common sense	1	1	1	Y	0.61	hist	no
Healthcare	healthcare	6	4	0.67	YYYnnY	0.6	hist	yes
Tariff	tariff	6	4	0.67	YYYnnY	0.6	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	7	4	0.57	nYnYYYn	0.57	hist	yes
Data Center	data center	2	1	0.5	nY	0.55	hist	yes
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	14	6	0.43	nYYnnYYnnY	0.5	hist	no
Second Amendment	second amendment	1	0	0	n	0.47	hist	no
Border	border	2	0	0	nn	0.37	hist	yes
Alien	alien	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.57	prior	yes
Taco	taco	0	0			0.57	prior	no
Water	water	0	0			0.57	prior	yes