# Josh Shapiro (josh-shapiro) · speech 2026-02-04 · 13 words · K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26FEB04 · as_of 2026-10-24T22:20:57Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-04 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · every p is a prior (base rate: no settled history of these words) · same on every row: thr 1, v K, p_src prior · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26FEB04 ({word} = w of K rows): If Josh Shapiro says {word} as part of 2026 State of the State Address, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	p	res
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	0	0		0.41	yes
Democracy	democracy	0	0		0.41	no
Hydrogen	hydrogen	0	0		0.41	no
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0		0.41	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	0	0		0.41	no
Inflation	inflation	0	0		0.41	no
Manufacturing	manufacturing	0	0		0.41	yes
Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis	cannabis|marijuana|weed	0	0		0.41	yes
Minimum Wage	minimum wage	0	0		0.41	yes
New Jersey	new jersey	0	0		0.41	yes
Tariff	tariff	0	0		0.41	yes
Tax Cut	tax cut	0	0		0.41	no
Trump	trump	0	0		0.41	yes