# Josh Shapiro (josh-shapiro) · interview 2026-08-18 · 13 words · K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26AUG18 · as_of 2026-10-24T02:58:15Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-08-18 · tn/th blank: no interview transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26AUG18 ({word} = w of K rows): If Josh Shapiro says {word} as part of MS NOW Deadline: White House , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	2	2	1	YY	0.62	hist	yes
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	no
AI / Artificial Intelligence	ai|artificial intelligence	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Election	election	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	no
Republican	republican	1	1	1	Y	0.57	hist	no
Iran / Iranian	iran|iranian	0	0			0.43	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	2	0	0	nn	0.38	hist	no
Affordable / Affordability	affordability|affordable	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			0.5	prior	no
Data Center	data center	0	0			0.5	prior	yes
Democrat	democrat	0	0			0.5	prior	no