# Josh Shapiro (josh-shapiro) · panel 2026-04-08 · 11 words · K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26APR08 · as_of 2026-10-24T16:51:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-08 · tn/th blank: no panel transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGOVERNORMENTION-26APR08 ({word} = w of K rows): If Josh Shapiro says {word} as part of National Action Network's 35th Anniversary National Convention 2026 - Fireside Chat, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	1	1	1	Y	0.55	hist	yes
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	0	0			0.55	hist	yes
Democracy	democracy	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	0	0	n	0.39	hist	no
2028 / Campaign	2028|campaign	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Antisemitism / Antisemitic	antisemitic|antisemitism	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Election	election	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Healthcare	healthcare	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Iran	iran	0	0			0.47	prior	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	0	0			0.47	prior	yes
Republican	republican	0	0			0.47	prior	yes