# Greg Abbott (greg-abbott) · speech 2026-09-10 · 12 words · K k:KXGABBMENTION-26SEP10 · as_of 2026-10-24T19:15:41Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-09-10 · tn/th blank: no speech transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXGABBMENTION-26SEP10 ({word} = w of K rows): If Greg Abbott says {word} as part of RNC Midterm Convention , then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Border	border	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	1	1	1	Y	0.53	hist	yes
ICE	ice	0	0			0.37	hist	no
Data Center	data center	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Paxton	paxton	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Sanctuary	sanctuary	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
School Choice	school choice	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Socialist / Socialism	socialism|socialist	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Talarico	talarico	0	0			0.43	prior	no
Tax	tax	0	0			0.43	prior	yes
Trump	trump	0	0			0.43	prior	yes