# Jacob Frey (jacob-frey) · remarks 2026-02-25 · 13 words · K k:KXFREYMENTION-26FEB25 · as_of 2026-10-25T15:50:18Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-02-25 · tn/th last 1 transcripts of any kind 2026-01-18 (under 2 remarks transcripts) · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFREYMENTION-26FEB25 ({word} = w of K rows): If Jacob Frey says {word} as part of State of the Swamp: A Night of Defiance, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	tn	th	p	p_src	res
Invaded / Invading / Invasion	invaded|invading|invasion	2	2	1	YY	1	1	0.63	hist	no
Investigate / Investigated / Investigation	investigate|investigated|investigation	2	2	1	YY	1	0	0.63	hist	no
Protest / Protester	protest|protester	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	1	0.53	hist	no
Somali / Somalia / Somalian	somali|somalia|somalian	3	2	0.67	YYn	1	1	0.53	hist	no
Republican	republican	3	1	0.33	nnY	1	0	0.44	hist	yes
Accountable / Accountability	accountability|accountable	0	0			1	0	0.48	prior	no
Afford / Affordable / Affordability	afford|affordability|affordable	0	0			1	0	0.48	prior	yes
Chaos	chao	0	0			1	0	0.48	prior	yes
Corrupt / Corruption	corrupt|corruption	0	0			1	0	0.48	prior	no
Federal	federal	0	0			1	1	0.48	prior	yes
ICE / National Guard	ice|national guard	0	0			1	1	0.48	prior	yes
Renee / Pretti	pretti|renee	0	0			1	0	0.48	prior	no
Safe / Safer / Safety	safe|safer|safety	0	0			1	1	0.48	prior	yes