# Fox News (fox-news-interviews) · tv_episode 2026-04-06 · 14 words · K k:KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR06B · as_of 2026-10-25T05:22:39Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-06 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR06B ({word} = w of K rows): If Markwayne Mullin says {word} as part of Fox News: Special Report, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	8	3	0.38	nYnnYYnn	0.51	hist	yes
Trump	trump	19	13	0.68	YYYnnYYnnY	0.5	hist	yes
China	china	2	0	0	nn	0.42	hist	no
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	3	0	0	nnn	0.4	hist	yes
Border	border	0	0			0.38	hist	yes
Democrat	democrat	7	3	0.43	YnYnnYn	0.37	hist	yes
Iran	iran	9	5	0.56	nYYYYnnnY	0.36	hist	no
Fraud	fraud	8	3	0.38	YnnnnYYn	0.35	hist	no
TSA	tsa	0	0			0.33	hist	no
Oil / Gas / Gasoline	gas|gasoline|oil	3	0	0	nnn	0.27	hist	no
National Security	national security	4	0	0	nnnn	0.25	hist	no
Deport / Deportation	deport|deportation	0	0			0.48	prior	yes
FEMA	fema	0	0			0.36	prior	no
Fentanyl	fentanyl	0	0			0.3	prior	no