# Fox News (fox-news-interviews) · tv_episode 2026-04-05 · 11 words · K k:KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR05B · as_of 2026-10-24T08:03:48Z
# scope K named · n/y settled before 2026-04-05 · tn/th blank: no tv episode transcripts yet · p_src prior = base rate, ranked after the rest · same on every row: thr 1, v K · not advice: base rates, not forecasts; operators trade these markets (parrot.markets/disclosure); data CC BY 4.0, credit parrot.markets
# rules K k:KXFOXNEWSMENTION-26APR05B ({word} = w of K rows): If Dave McCormick says {word} as part of Fox News Sunday, then the market resolves to Yes.
w	key	n	y	rate	l10	p	p_src	res
Trump	trump	18	12	0.67	YYYYnnYYnn	0.46	hist	yes
Shutdown / Shut Down	shut down|shutdown	7	3	0.43	nYnnYYn	0.45	hist	no
Israel / Israeli	israel|israeli	7	4	0.57	YYnYnnY	0.42	hist	no
ICE / TSA	ice|tsa	0	0			0.42	hist	no
Iran	iran	8	4	0.5	nYYYYnnn	0.38	hist	yes
NATO	nato	2	1	0.5	Yn	0.35	hist	yes
Fetterman	fetterman	1	0	0	n	0.34	hist	no
Kristi / Noem	kristi|noem	2	0	0	nn	0.3	hist	no
Immigrant / Immigration	immigrant|immigration	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
National Security	national security	3	0	0	nnn	0.28	hist	no
Reconciliation	reconciliation	0	0			0.36	prior	yes